The bears den

[coolhead]

Lol, I love this. Let's see how long bulls can hold out for the long term.

Oh **** this is looking good!

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[DukeCS33]

Lol, I love this. Let's see how long bulls can hold out for the long term.

This risk crushing all the other Chinese names that rely on US tech.... US tech would get smashed as well.... hmmm looks like the semiconductors companies may get sold off tonight.

Looks like tonight's intraday play would be US semiconductors... Seeing MU and ON gapping down in premarket now.

 

[SBC]

Good bear for US 2nite.

 

[churnmaster]

Lol, I love this. Let's see how long bulls can hold out for the long term.

Looks like, "I'm loving it" moment coming soon.

Time to close my OTM short position and then wait for another bounce to get short.

 

[coolhead]

Looks like, "I'm loving it" moment coming soon.

Time to close my OTM short position and then wait for another bounce to get short.

can't imagine if Trump says "US will suspend business with all supplies who agreed to continue supplying Huawei"...lmao that will be hilarious.

 

[revhappy]

Russian ** selling USD from their reserves and buying more Euro and Yuan.

 

[SpinFire]

Looks like the Fed will be forced to cut rates soon.

 

[DukeCS33]

Huawei's American suppliers
Chinese telecoms equipment maker Huawei has a long list of American suppliers:,

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/USA-CHINA-HUAWEI/0H001GSE93H2/index.html

 

[theMKR]

YESH! finally fugged tsla.

exited all positions at 197.

tmr can buy pokemon cards again

 

[coolhead]

Looks like the Fed will be forced to cut rates soon.

Fed can't cut rates. They can only maintain.

 

[limster]

Fed can't cut rates. They can only maintain.

of course they can cut rates if there is a change in economic conditions.

 

[MrHighlander]

US fed can surely cut rates, come on

They can either hold, cut or raise

Fed can't cut rates. They can only maintain.

 

[coolhead]

US fed can surely cut rates, come on

They can either hold, cut or raise

they will need a damn good justification to cut due to their dual mandate.

 

[coolhead]

of course they can cut rates if there is a change in economic conditions.

Only if the economic conditions are an evident increase in unemployment rates and/or deflation. I am inclined to think tariffs will bring about inflation.

 

[netzach]

hmmm looking at the chain of events, I cannot help but think that this trade war was merely a front for a tech war. The real objective of the US was to short circuit China's ambitions to be a tech global house. The Chinese probably saw though it and that was why they were playing a delay tactic, and trying to cushion their economy with borrowed time from stalling. This has the potential to drag on without any resolutions.

Ya man. It’s looking like more of a tech war from the look of things. Huawei being the main target of the war to curb the uprising of China as a tech powerhouse. Sian.

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[Lasogette]

Sold almost all my us stocks

 

[SBC]

Sold almost all my us stocks

Why need to sell us all? Tug-of-war will happen for quite some time.

 

[DukeCS33]

Fed can't cut rates. They can only maintain.

Never say never. The narrative would change if the next NFP drops a bombshell. Of course I do not expect things to just fall over, but a drop in employment basically would go counter to all their assumptions and reason enough to change stance.… again, the hardest scenario for the Fed would be a rise in prices (due to tariffs???) and slowing growth.

Now lets see if Trump is going to open his mouth and save the stock market tonight.

 

[churnmaster]

Only if the economic conditions are an evident increase in unemployment rates and/or deflation. I am inclined to think tariffs will bring about inflation.

I think the same .... Cost push inflation would pick up and there is no need for Fed to cut rates unless unemployment rates pick up sharply.

 

[coolhead]

Never say never. The narrative would change if the next NFP drops a bombshell. Of course I do not expect things to just fall over, but a drop in employment basically would go counter to all their assumptions and reason enough to change stance.… again, the hardest scenario for the Fed would be a rise in prices (due to tariffs???) and slowing growth.

Now lets see if Trump is going to open his mouth and save the stock market tonight.

Even if NFP were to drop a bombshell, I believe rates will still maintain. I'll take it that the fed is data driven and will base it on other indicators such as wage growth, inflation, labour force participation rates, unemployment rate.

In short, there needs to be a real slowdown of us economy based on data and not just stories of market analysis clamouring for rate cuts due to trade war.

Note: we know the data is rigged/distorted but if the fed don't trust it, no one can trust the fed to stabilise the market anymore.

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