The bears den

[SBC]

DJ future is down > 200 points. I like volatility too.

 

[theMKR]

TSLA is dying now

 

[DukeCS33]

Tonight's price action gets interesting.... the Chinese are now asking the Americans to show sincerity after the move on Huawei, threatening to back out of talks. What is Trump going to tweet tonight to save the markets? And would the Markets believe him given that the Chinese are getting frosty now.
Market would most likely open gap down... now would this gap get covered in tonight's session?

 

[Trader11]

President Donald Trump's job approval rating currently stands at 42%, slightly below his prior rating from the latter half of April when 46% approved, the highest rating of his presidency thus far. Trump's latest approval rating remains better than the 35% lows seen several times during his first year in office.

 

[Trader11]

Lol trump shooting himself in the foot with his stupid antics. A deal will be done soon before his election 2020

 

[SpinFire]

Lol trump shooting himself in the foot with his stupid antics. A deal will be done soon before his election 2020

Trump has the elections as his deadline to get a deal, the Chinese don't have.

 

[revhappy]

TRUMP SAYS EU, JAPAN AUTO TARIFFS DELAYED FOR AT LEAST 180 DAYS

There you go, as predicted, the manipulator in chief logged into his laptop.

 

[DukeCS33]

Looks like market is attempting to cover the gap. Its already half way there so I think there is a good chance... the real action and direction starts after this gap gets covered.

 

[DukeCS33]

SNAP block trade of 1.24m at 11.2618

 

[revhappy]

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/t...of-a-trump-put-in-the-stock-market-2019-05-16

The Trump PUT.

• The chart shows the stock market was falling.

• The VUD indicator, the most sensitive gauge of supply and demand in real time, was orange, as shown on the chart, indicating the supply of stocks exceeded demand.

• The setup was near perfect for the stock market to have kept declining.

• Trump perfectly timed the announcement of a delay in tariffs on cars and car parts.

• As the chart shows, a sharp rally ensued.

 

[FrostWurm]

Lol trump shooting himself in the foot with his stupid antics. A deal will be done soon before his election 2020

During the election he will say that the "war" is still ongoing so people need to vote for him to maintain stability in this time of strife.

 

[revhappy]

$ES now positive lol! Xi dumps Trump pumps.

 

[Mecisteus]

So any bears got the balls to short now? Now is the best chance to do it.

Show us where you put your money is.

 

[eD1s0n]

So any bears got the balls to short now? Now is the best chance to do it.

Show us where you put your money is.

in before *Trump will pump it higher for the time being, I will wait.*

 

[peipei1]

https://ir.citi.com/0VFn8pAlSfp7EoVjjrGtOcEIwh5YkIFPxhvwGFme2f8uFGyEQyFbmdDzLbNMWvH3MCCNlSyF428=

Who follows Citi GPS?
I found it quite informative since using Ibkr to buy shares.
Say no to global shocks until 2027 or later, not good news as the timing is closer to our retirement.

I feel once Trump settle with Xi, things will go back to normal, some will say last year 20% drop was the big one, nasdaq was a bear market in fact! Have not able to buy back into Iwda below average price!

There are four episodes of material global cyclical weakness since 1961. The IMF’s definition of a global recession is a contraction of Purchasing Power Parity adjusted World real GDP per capita accompanied by a decline in at least one additional global macroeconomic indicator such as per-capita investment, per-capita consumption, industrial production, or trade flows. Since World War II, the world has seen only four global recessions on this definition — in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009.The 1973-1975 sharp decline in growth was due to the first oil crisis.

Global growth has been converging down to its potential rate. How likely is it that the slowdown continues and becomes a global cyclical downturn?

There have been four global recessions since 1961, triggered either by oil price shocks or by financial crises

Geopolitical instability in the Middle East undoubtedly contributed to the decision of Arab members of OPEC to quadruple the price of oil. The 1979-1982 growth decline was driven by the second oil crisis. The Iranian revolution of 1979 was in part responsible for the slowdown in global oil production that year. Although global oil supply declined only by about four percent, the price of crude more than doubled.

The slowdown that started in 1988 was triggered by Black Monday, when stock markets around the world crashed on Monday, October 19, 1987. The 1989 savings and loan crisis further weakened the U.S. and global economy. The (somewhat milder) global slowdown — not a global recession according to the IMF criteria —that started in 2000 was triggered by the implosion of the dot-com tech bubble. Finally, the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 triggered the most severe global recession since 1961, and indeed since the Great Depression of the 1930s. One lesson from this is that it takes a significant adverse supply shock (with a material impact on aggregate demand) or financial calamity to trigger a global recession. The four global recessions since 1961 were not the result of ‘endogenous’ fluctuations in economic activity. All were triggered by severe shocks.

Presently, there are indeed manifest financial weaknesses in the three largest
economies (the health of corporate balance sheets in the U.S. flattered by unnaturally low credit spreads, across the board excessive leverage in China, and chronic weakness in the banking sector in the Eurozone), but there are few if any confident forecasts of an imminent financial crisis.
Could rising geopolitical risks in a constellation of key petro-states become systemic via a supply shock? We think this time is different.

 

[theMKR]

So any bears got the balls to short now? Now is the best chance to do it.

Show us where you put your money is.

i been shorting, i post my position. i lost big at SHOP which rose like shyt

 

[theMKR]

huge huge dumping at end of market sia

 

[DukeCS33]

SNAP block trade of 1.24m at 11.2618

This stock just took off after this trade. There was ample time to enter for a scalp. Normally I would hunt for such news... unfortunately I do not have any screener or auto alert so it has to be manually done.

 

[SBC]

Healthy volatility is good.

Bought back some VIX last nite.

 

[revhappy]

huge huge dumping at end of market sia

People dont want to carry positions over the weekend, for the fear of the conman tweeting some $hit over the weekend.