US 10-year yields rose as high as 1.124% this week. The high on March 19th was 1.276% during the extreme volatility at the beginning of the pandemic. From there, yields sold off aggressively as the world shut down and monetary stimulus hurled at us. Yields fell to a low of 0.5% in August. The 1% level was tested multiple times. However, this week, the first week of the year, investors came in selling bonds and buying stocks. This week alone, 10-year yields moved from 0.905% to 1.124%, a gain of 21%! So, are large investors looking past the fiscal stimulus and the coronavirus? Interest rate movements would suggest they are looking for higher inflation. Not to mention that in Friday’s payroll data, the average hourly earnings were +0.8%, the strongest since April. Inflation data this week and Powell’s speech on Thursday will be eyed for hints of the FOMC’s next steps. They meet again on January 27th.